As Senate Republican leaders aim to advance a significant bill for President Trump’s agenda by July 4, they face internal divisions and competing demands. With all Democrats opposed, the GOP needs at least 50 votes, relying on Vice President JD Vance for potential tie-breaking. Key senators to monitor include:
Rand Paul (R-Ky.) has consistently opposed the legislation, criticizing increased military spending and the $5 trillion debt limit hike. Although he supports extending Trump’s 2017 tax cuts, he insists on offsetting these with substantial spending cuts, which seem unlikely to gain consensus.
Susan Collins (R-Maine), facing re-election in a typically Democratic state, has shifted from supporting to opposing previous budget resolutions due to concerns over Medicaid cuts affecting low-income and elderly constituents. She has historically voted against major GOP bills when her demands weren’t met.
Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) has expressed dissatisfaction with provisions like Medicaid cuts and tax issues, hinting she might need significant changes to support the final product. She champions clean energy credits beneficial to Alaska.
Mike Crapo (R-Idaho), as head of the Senate Finance Committee, will craft critical aspects of the bill but faces challenges in pleasing both Senators and House Republicans.
Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) advocates for a more targeted approach to clean energy tax credits. As a member of the Finance Committee, he slightly favors the bill but acknowledges the tight timeline to meet the July 4 deadline.
Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) has criticized the estimated $2.4 trillion deficit increase and prefers breaking the bill into smaller parts. Despite initial skepticism, there’s cautious optimism he might support it.
Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) is notably opposed to Medicaid benefit cuts, particularly concerned about measures related to Medicare, which he views as politically detrimental.
Overall, Republican leaders need to navigate these varied stances to secure the necessary support for the legislation.
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